Superforecasting James M. Kauffman While the first volume consisted

While the first volume consisted of a collection of essays by Singapore's first- and second-generation diplomats

in the home of a wealthy family

A literary crime masterpiece that follows a Japanese pickpocket lost to the machinations of fate

Joyce and her young daughter

The volume features a new preface and index

Superforecasting James M. Kauffman While the first volume consistedWhat if we could improve our ability to predict the future? Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it. In a landmark, twenty year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was