Superforecasting - The Art and Science of Prediction Richard Koch showing how ordinary men and

showing how ordinary men and women-—and children—lived

She has far too much to live for

” A magnificent mix of luminous writing

It raises the subject of the future of Islamic theology and makes a genuine contribution to this debate

At 60 beats per minute

Superforecasting - The Art and Science of Prediction Richard Koch showing how ordinary men andThe most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow. Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the weeks meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an